Stoltenberg has said in the Danish press that he believes the war will last for many years to come. I agree with him that with the policy pursued, peace has long prospects.
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No one knows how things will go on the battlefield in the coming months, but the starting point in the analysis is that Russia can upgrade both militarily and in terms of personnel and can intensify their actions. The country can also switch gears and switch to a war economy. The country has good opportunities to buy whatever military equipment they want, no sanctions or restrictions can prevent this.
Ukraine has good opportunities for rearmament. In the coming months, the country will gain more long-range missiles, the expansion of its air force and a continuous specialization for sophisticated military operations in limited areas. It must also be expected that their defense systems will be further developed.
The country that loses momentum on the battlefield will change tactics and possibly pursue a more aggressive policy with intensive bombing of critical infrastructure and buildings, etc. If Ukraine loses momentum, it is also conceivable that they will do deep operations and also special maritime operations.
I must also ask if the international community has registered that the Russian government has said on several occasions: (loosely translated): that they are taking it easy, and they have not even started the “very large military operations in Ukraine yet” If this is true, in the coming time we may see a violent escalating war, with even more violent consequences for the Ukrainian people.
Thus, this conflict is a screw without end, and the military operations the countries carry out can become even more special, so that no one ultimately knows the reaction of the other party. This is a very dangerous and unsustainable situation. Therefore, an attempt must and must be made to establish a fixed diplomatic format that can process all facets of the conflict and come up with possible negotiated solutions for the parties, so that we once again have peace and stability in the heart of Europe.